The War of Interests: Iran, Saudi Arabia, the US and Israel
Regional interests shaping confrontation with Iran, ammunition shortages and the case for producing affordable, intelligent weapons at scale.
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In conversation.
Interviews, talks and panels. More context. Another perspective.
34 entries
Building an Antifragile Israel
On the need for a new security doctrine, the limits of prediction and principles for making decisions under uncertainty.
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Laser Interception: Capabilities, Limits and Promises
On laser interception, its relationship to existing air-defense systems and the need for precision when discussing military capabilities.
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Making Sense of the Regional Situation
A second Geekonomy appearance, examining the changing Middle East and assessing security developments.
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Iran’s Missile Arsenal and the Campaign against Iran
A June 2025 discussion of Iran’s nuclear program, missile threats and home-front protection during the campaign.
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An Agreement with Iran: The Terms Matter
An excerpt on using military pressure to achieve diplomatic outcomes, and the distinction between an agreement that stops a threat and one that merely postpones it.
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How to Assess Nuclear Risk
An excerpt on probabilistic risk assessment and the assumptions behind nuclear-attack damage scenarios.
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Iran in America’s Strategic Priorities
An examination of US policy toward Iran in the context of competition with China and Israel’s interests.
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Does the Lebanon Ceasefire Serve Israel’s Interests?
An analysis of the Lebanon ceasefire agreement from the perspective of Israel’s security interests.
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Should Israel Accept the Proposed Northern Settlement?
An examination of the proposed arrangement on the northern front and its implications for Israel.
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Cross-Border Tunnels from Lebanon and Israeli Preparedness
A conversation with Smadar Hila Shmueli about cross-border tunnels from Lebanon and the gap between identifying a threat and preparing for it.
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The Tunnel Threat: Questions around Route 6
A discussion of possible underground threats in the West Bank and how to prepare when uncertainty remains.
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Striking Iran: Escalation or Deterrence?
An examination of a possible Israeli strike on Iran and the responses that could follow.
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Intelligence Successes and the October 7 Failure
A conversation with Dr. Mordechai Kedar on the differences between intelligence operations in Lebanon and Gaza, and the relationship between intelligence and operational readiness.
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Assessing Damage Scenarios in a Hezbollah War
A rebroadcast examining potential damage in Israel from a Hezbollah missile attack and assessing the northern threat.
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How Iran Recruits Agents
A discussion of Iranian recruitment methods and foreign-agent activity.
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Hostage Recovery and the Objectives of War
A conversation with Elazar Shturm about the tension between recovering hostages and defeating Hamas, and the need to discuss the associated tradeoffs honestly.
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Is the General Staff Making the Right Decisions?
A discussion with Ziv Maor about the General Staff, decision-making and strategy.
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Israel’s Response to the Iranian Attack
An April 15, 2024 interview on Israel’s response to the Iranian attack and the need to connect military action with a broader strategy.
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Iran’s Nuclear Program: The Final Stretch
An April 2024 discussion of Iran’s nuclear program and its implications for Israeli policy.
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The Iranian Attack and Israel's Strategy
An analysis of Iran’s April 2024 attack and its implications for Israeli strategy and regional deterrence.
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The Calcalist Report: What a War in the North Would Mean
An analysis of Hezbollah war scenarios: how an attack might unfold and what the assumptions behind damage forecasts reveal.
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Yossi Cohen's Plan for the Day After: Populism or Security Logic?
An examination of Yossi Cohen’s proposal for postwar Gaza and the security implications of different arrangements for governing the territory.
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The New Weapon Hezbollah Revealed
On Hezbollah’s weapons capabilities and their implications for Israeli preparedness and the northern campaign.
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The Tower 22 Attack: How Will the US Respond?
A discussion of possible American responses to regional attacks, and the relationship between deterrence, escalation and US interests.
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Gaza: Keeping a Sense of Proportion
An examination of historical comparisons used to describe the Gaza war, and the differences between fighting a conventional army and a guerrilla organization.
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The Weaponry in Hezbollah's Hands
A discussion of Hezbollah’s weapons and their implications for assessing threats on Israel’s northern front.
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Is Iran Loosening the Reins?
An analysis of Iranian involvement and the possibility of greater freedom of action for its regional partners.
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Gaza: Did We Pull Out Too Early?
On the duration of the Gaza campaign, the distinction between political objectives and military operations, and the competing demands of security, displaced residents and hostage recovery.
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The Israeli Public Must Understand the Threat from Lebanon
An examination of the northern threat and what postponing action against Hezbollah’s military buildup means for northern communities and Israeli security policy.
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The Intelligence World Needs a Reform
A long-form conversation with Dr. Roy Yozevitch on tactical versus strategic threats, the role and structure of military intelligence, and the costs of action against Hezbollah.
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Nasrallah, Hochstein and the Northern Front
An excerpt from the intelligence-reform conversation, focusing on Hezbollah and diplomatic efforts on the northern front.
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"Israel at War" panel
An appearance on Channel 14’s Israel at War panel, during the Swords of Iron war.
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Where Did We Go Wrong? The Built-in Failure of the Intelligence Role, and How to Fix It
A conversation with Tamir Dortal about the gap between Israeli security doctrine and the limits of intelligence prediction, and possible changes to reduce the risk of another strategic surprise.
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